Aggregate Planning

Aggregate planning is a medium-term production and capacity planning process that determines the optimal combination of production rates, workforce levels, and inventory holdings needed to meet anticipated demand over a 3 to 18 month horizon. It operates at the level of product families or categories rather than individual SKUs, and its output feeds directly into the master production schedule.

Why Aggregate Planning Matters

The main challenge aggregate planning addresses is the mismatch between volatile demand and relatively rigid supply. Demand can change month to month, while production capacity, labor availability, and supplier contracts are slower to adjust. Aggregate planning defines in advance how to manage that gap at the lowest possible cost while protecting service levels.

Core Strategies

Most businesses blend three fundamental strategies:

  • Chase strategy: Adjust production output to match demand each period using hiring, layoffs, or overtime.
  • Level strategy: Maintain a steady production rate and use inventory as a buffer to absorb demand fluctuations.
  • Hybrid strategy: Use moderate changes to production rate, supported by inventory building and limited overtime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Typically 3 to 18 months, with monthly or quarterly time buckets. Shorter than this and it becomes operational scheduling; longer than this and it becomes strategic capacity planning.

Aggregate planning works at the product family level over a medium-term horizon. The MPS works at the individual finished good level over a shorter horizon and is the disaggregated execution of the aggregate plan.

Seasonal businesses face large, predictable demand swings that cannot be fully absorbed by production flexibility alone. Aggregate planning enables them to decide in advance how much inventory to build in the off-season, how much overtime to budget at peak, and whether temporary labor makes economic sense, all before the season begins.

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